Network charts/Block Time Distribution

Block Time Distribution

How long each block waited for the one before it. Ten minutes is the average, not the typical gap

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About this metric

Definition

How long blocks wait for each other, as a distribution. Mining is memoryless, so short gaps are the most common and the tail runs long: the median is 6.9 minutes even though the average is ten.

How it is measured

The shortest bucket is always the largest one, which surprises people who expect a peak at ten minutes. Mining is memoryless: every hash attempt has the same tiny chance of winning whatever has happened already, so the waiting time is exponentially distributed and the most likely gap is a short one. Measured across every interval in the chain: the median is 6.9 minutes, 63.9% of blocks arrive in under ten minutes, 4.5% take more than half an hour and 0.3% take over an hour. An exponential distribution with a ten-minute mean predicts 63.2%, 5.0% and 0.25%, so the chain tracks the theory to within seven tenths of a percentage point. Miners choose their own timestamps, so a block can appear to arrive before its predecessor.

Measured from my own Bitcoin node. Methodology